Tenggara Backgrounder is a weekly briefing service combining insights and analysis by experts from the Centre for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) and Universitas Prasetiya Mulya, as well as background information from The Jakarta Post journalists. Tenggara Backgrounder provides you exclusive insights into what’s happening behind the scenes along with insider scoops that are not published in the media.
Should Nawa Cita be continued?Tenggara Backgrounder Aug 10
<p><strong>Should Nawa Cita be continued?</strong></p><p>With presidential campaign approaching, Joko “Jokowi” Widodo was seen upgrading his Nawa Cita (nine goals) platform to his new vision for the upcoming term. The Nawa Cita, however, is being re-formulated to target human capital development and poverty, something that have been exploited politically by his opponents.</p><p><strong>Jostling coalitions: legislative or presidential election?</strong></p><p>The year 2019 holds great political significance for political parties as they have to confront two electoral battles in the same year. The political upheaval and “tacky” coalition prior to candidate registration period on Thursday reflected how the race for government and parliament may intensify.</p><p><strong>Jonan deals blow to Chevron over IDD and Rokan</strong></p><p>The Rokan Block operation permit handover to Pertamina from Chevron might be more controversial than just a fair business consideration. While the Block may seem as an attempt to revitalize Pertamina’s financial, it was actually related to a bigger energy outlook.</p><p><strong>Indonesia weighing possible trade spat with US</strong></p><p>Although the US and Indonesian officials have settled the issue of generalized system of preferences (GSP), the Trump’s administration apparently will not be satisfied until Indonesia at least pay the price for its continuous trade surplus with the US.</p>
Prabowo’s political mapTenggara Backgrounder Aug 03
<p><strong>Prabowo’s political map</strong></p><p>With his coalition still shaky, presumptive nominee Prabowo Subianto’s political map is as yet unfinished. His meetings on Monday, July 30, with Democratic Party chairman Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono (SBY) and Prosperous Justice Party (PKS) chairman Sohibul Iman however, have shedsome light on Prabowo’s ruse, particularly regarding his potential vice presidents.</p><p><strong>Kalla, Jokowi and democracy in peril</strong></p><p>Jusuf Kalla’s legal battle over Article 169 of the 2017 Elections Law may bear a wider relevance than just his pursuit for vice-presidency. The tight countermotion from a group of academics and activistsagainst United Indonesia’s Party (Perindo) on July 30, indicated a bigger implication for Indonesia’sdemocracy.</p><p><strong>Flip-flopping DMO regulation</strong></p><p>The recent Domestic Market Obligation (DMO) regulation flip-flopping is a bad precedent to the investment seeking Indonesia. DMO price cap elimination announcement on Monday and itscancellation on the next day reflected government’s inconsistency and unthorough planning.</p><p><strong>Tsingshan’s game changer investment in Morowali</strong></p><p>Chinese government announced anti-dumping probes on stainless steel import from the European Union, Japan, South Korea and Indonesia in July 23. The Indonesian case is particularly interesting, as it highlights how far competition between Chinese companies can go.</p>
Vice-presidential showdown: Two weeks to goTenggara Backgrounder July 27
As the deadline for the registration of presidential and vice-presidential candidates for the 2019 election approaches, President Joko “Jokowi” Widodo and his potential contender Gerindra Party chairman Prabowo Subianto have yet to name their respective running mates. But the landscape could change as PAN, PKS and Democratic Party are likely to leave Gerindra alone.
Predicting Prabowo’s political ployTenggara Backgrounder July 20
Incumbent President Joko ‘Jokowi’ Widodo’s political maneuvering has beendiscussed exhaustively ahead of the 2019 presidential election. Predicting the potential strategies of Prabowo Subianto, a former lieutenant general and losing candidate in the last two elections, is of equal importance. Like Jokowi, Prabowo remains utterly silent about his choice of running mate.